LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is a Technic set currently available at retail for $49.99 and is projected to retire at the end of 2028. Current new-sealed secondary market prices range from $50 to $73. Momentum is steady, as cooling member interest balances with the set selling a little below its retail price.

Forecast Model

This shows the set's value since release and where our forecast expects it to go.
LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is a Technic Licensed set released in 2026, containing 457 pieces. The build models a Ducati-style motorcycle with large steerable handlebars that let you control the direction of the bike. A working chain-driven cylinder engine is powered by a chain running from the rear axle. Functional front and rear suspension are included in the model.

With retirement expected in 2028, Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is forecast to reach about $62 within five years, including a pop of around 11% once it leaves shelves.
Collector and Investor Standing
The Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle builds a dirt bike with working suspension, steering and a chain driven engine. Those details give motorcycle fans plenty to inspect, though its collector following remains modest. For investors, slow growth across Technic and cooling market activity make this an uncertain prospect.
47/100
Collector
Wanted by a few
Ducati details appeal to a small crowd
30/100
Investor
A weak holding
Before retirement

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle.
(US) Technic 42238 Ducati Desmo 450 MX Factory New Sealed MIB A215
BrickEconomy Choice
$39.95
(US) Technic 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory MIB Sealed New A282 $39.95
-20.1%
(US) LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 42238 New Sealed Free Shippi $42.95
-14.1%
(US) 42238 Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle Building Toys, Ages 10+ $43.00
-14.0%
(US) LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 42238 New Sealed Free Shippi $44.49
-11.0%
(US) Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory 42238 457 pcs Age 10+ Box $45.00
-10.0%
(US) LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 42238 New Sealed Display $49.98
0.0%
(US) LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 457 Piece Set 42238 $49.99
(US) - Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 42238 $49.99
(US) Official LEGO Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle
Out of stock
$49.99
(PE) Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle Toy, 10+ , 42238 WLM $50.16
+0.3%
(US) LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle 42238 [New Toy] Brick $51.93
+3.9%
(US) Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle from BrickLink seller dunlopmy $66.00
+32.0%
(US) Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle Building Set, 457 Pieces, $54.00
+8.0%
Picked for your regionShow 20 more listings

Market Momentum

Neutral
Member interest is cooling while the set sells slightly below retail. The market leans level, with LEGO having run out of stock in some regions.
DemandUpper half in Technic
High demand but falling
12 months agoToday
Listings and stockLast 30 days
Out of stock in US
US
GB
CA
AU
Price vs retailLast 30 days
14% below retail
Lowest new price at eBay
Outlook:18% bearish·57% neutral·25% bullish
Why it's moving, signals and outlook

Compared with other Licensed sets

Next to the others, Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle sits near the top of the group's sets still at retail for member adds.

$0.11 a piece
Retail price per piece
This set
$0.11
Typical
$0.10
Close to the group's typical retail price per piece.
#4 of 37 still at retail
Members adding it, past 4 months
This set
Typical
About 75% above the rate of the group's sets still at retail.
Licensed sets still at retail by priceRetail
42232 Koenigsegg Sadair's Spear Megacar$449.99
42172 McLaren P1$449.99
42215 Volvo EC500 Hybrid Excavator$429.99
42177 Mercedes-Benz G 500$249.99
42228 McLaren MCL39 F1 Car$229.99
42240 Aston Martin Aramco AMR25 F1 Car$229.99
42206 Oracle Red Bull Racing RB20 F1 Car$229.99
42207 Ferrari F1 Car$229.99
42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle$49.99

Sets in Technic / Licensed

42232 Koenigsegg Sadair's Spear Megacar

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 4,104
Availability Retail
42232 LEGO Technic Koenigsegg Sadair's Spear Megacar
Retail $449.99
Available at retail

42228 McLaren MCL39 F1 Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 1,675
Availability Retail
42228 LEGO Technic McLaren MCL39 F1 Car
Retail $229.99
Available at retail

42240 Aston Martin Aramco AMR25 F1 Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 1,547
Availability Retail
42240 LEGO Technic Aston Martin Aramco AMR25 F1 Car
Retail $229.99
Available at retail

42224 Porsche 911 GT3 R REXY AO Racing

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 1,313
Availability Retail
42224 LEGO Technic Porsche 911 GT3 R REXY AO Racing
Retail $149.99
Available at retail

42242 Mercedes-Benz Unimog U 5023 with Crane

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 1,189
Availability Retail
42242 LEGO Technic Mercedes-Benz Unimog U 5023 with Crane
Retail $129.99
Available at retail

42236 Custom Garage Ford GT Mustang

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 973
Availability Retail
42236 LEGO Technic Custom Garage Ford GT Mustang
Retail $99.99
Available at retail

42235 Ferrari 488 PISTA Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 882
Availability Retail
42235 LEGO Technic Ferrari 488 PISTA Car
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42234 Dodge Viper GTS-R Sports Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 805
Availability Retail
42234 LEGO Technic Dodge Viper GTS-R Sports Car
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42223 1966 Ford GT40 MKII Race Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 793
Availability Retail
42223 LEGO Technic 1966 Ford GT40 MKII Race Car
Retail $74.99
Available at retail

42222 Bugatti Chiron Pur Sport

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 771
Availability Retail
42222 LEGO Technic Bugatti Chiron Pur Sport
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42241 Green Bugatti Chiron Pur Sport Hypercar

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 771
Availability Retail
42241 LEGO Technic Green Bugatti Chiron Pur Sport Hypercar
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42226 BMW M4 GT3 EVO Race Car

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 747
Availability Retail
42226 LEGO Technic BMW M4 GT3 EVO Race Car
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42227 Jeep Wrangler Rubicon SUV

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 723
Availability Retail
42227 LEGO Technic Jeep Wrangler Rubicon SUV
Retail $64.99
Available at retail

42239 Batmobile Tumbler

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 719
Availability Retail
42239 LEGO Technic Batmobile Tumbler
Retail $189.99
Available at retail

42221 NASA Artemis Space Launch System Rocket

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces / Figures 632 / 4
Availability Retail
42221 LEGO Technic NASA Artemis Space Launch System Rocket
Retail $59.99
Available at retail

42218 John Deere 1470H Wheeled Harvester

Theme / Subtheme Technic / Licensed
Year 2026
Pieces 117
Availability Retail
42218 LEGO Technic John Deere 1470H Wheeled Harvester
Retail $9.99
Available at retail

Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle Questions

What is the current value of LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle?

New copies of Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle are valued at $49 on the secondary market right now. On the used market, expect to pay around $41.

Can you still buy LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle new?

Yes. Released in August 2026, Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is still in production. LEGO has not announced a retirement date. Similar sets suggest it will retire around the end of 2028.

Is LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle worth more than its retail price?

No. At $49, Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle sits 1% under retail ($49.99), which is common while a set is still in production.

How much could LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle be worth in a year?

Next year's forecast for Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is $50, about 1% more than today. The short-term market reading is neutral. Signals from demand, supply and price are mixed. This is an estimate and markets can change.

What is the piece count of LEGO 42238 Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle?

Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle is built from 457 pieces, about $0.11 each at retail.

Get a value badge
Show this set's value on your website or blog.
Fuel up for epic playtimes with the LEGO Technic Ducati Desmo450 MX Factory Motorcycle (42238) building toy. This set for boys and girls ages 10 years and up blends Ducatis iconic style with impressive details, creating an action-packed model for kids to explore.
Use the large handlebars to steer, check out the cylinder engine thats driven by the chain from the rear axle, and test out the front and rear suspension. After crossing the finish line, proudly display the Ducati model until itstime to race again. This building toy makes a fun gift idea for boys, girls and anyone who loves motorcycles.
LEGO Technic sets feature realistic movements and mechanisms that introduce young LEGO fans to the universe of engineering in an approachable and realistic way. Kids can build with confidence using the LEGO Builder app, which lets them zoom, rotate in 3D and track progress with easy-to-follow digital instructions. This set contains 457 pieces.

DUCATI MOTORCYCLE TOY Unleash...
Description provided by LEGO©