How is the estimated retirement determined?

In most cases, LEGO does not release the exact retirement date of a set in advance. BrickEconomy predicts retirement dates by analyzing several factors, including tracking the 'Sold out' cycles in different LEGO retail markets, examining the relative lifespan of similar sets, and using a machine learning model for more accurate predictions. By combining these factors, BrickEconomy creates a confidence score and estimated retirement date, which are updated frequently.
Greatest Retirement Risk
Expected retirement: End of 2026 74.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 75.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 77.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 75.8%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 72.8%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 70.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 74.4%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 77.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 76.8%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 91.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 88.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 76.7%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 74.0%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 79.2%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 90.2%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 79.2%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 95.1%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 96.1%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 75.5%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 79.7%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 92.1%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 88.2%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 75.5%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 77.5%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 97.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 72.5%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 90.2%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 92.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 97.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 74.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 94.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 92.9%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 96.6%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 91.7%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 92.7%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 96.7%
Expected retirement: End of 2026 97.7%