Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 76405 Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition is a 5,129 piece Harry Potter exclusive set with 20 minifigs released in 2022. The set features the Hogwarts Express engine, coal tender and 3-room passenger car. and 20 minifigures of Harry Potter and his Hogwarts colleagues, including Ron Weasley, Hermione Granger, Remus Lupin, Ginny Weasley, Draco Malfoy and many more including a Dementor.

The current retail price is $499.99, however, the average price on the secondary markets is around $535 which could indicate the set is backordered or temporarily out of stock in various regions. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid 2024. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 5% after the second year, which will value the set between $586 and $612 shortly after it is retired.
Retirement risk Retirement risk. Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition has a current lifespan of 13 months, based on the average lifespan of other sets in this theme, which is 11 months, this set is at risk for retiring in the coming months.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 76405 Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition.
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition Set 76405 - 100% Verified Authentic ...
$372.00
-25.6%
(US) 76405 Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition New In LEGO Shipper IN HAND
BrickEconomy Choice
$412.99
-17.4%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 Brand New
$419.99
-16.0%
(JP) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collector's Edition Block Building Toy 76405
$433.64
-13.3%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 Brand New
$434.98
-13.0%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 Brand New
$440.00
-12.0%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 Brand New
$445.29
-10.9%
(CA) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition 76405 - Factory Sealed
$462.09
-7.6%
(AU) Harry Potter: Hogwarts Express - Collector's Edition (76405)
$462.93
-7.4%
(US) New sealed Lego Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405
$464.99
-7.0%
(US) Hogwarts Express - Collector's Edition (76405) - New, Unopened
$475.00
-5.0%
(US) New LEGO 76405 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition Set Fast Ship
$479.99
-4.0%
(CA) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition 76405 - Factory Sealed
$480.57
-3.9%
(US) BRAND NEW LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 FAST SHIP
$499.00
-0.2%
(US) Offical set 76405 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition at LEGO.com
$499.99
Show 27 more listings

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Capture the magic of the Harry Potter™ stories with a buildable, 1:32 scale replica of the most iconic vehicle in the Wizarding World. LEGO® Harry Potter Hogwarts Express™ – Collectors' Edition (76405) is a spectacular build-and-display project for adult Harry Potter enthusiasts, which will enchant all who see it.

Authentically detailed inside and out
The engine features a detailed underside and a lever on the top that causes the train to rock with the motion of a steam train. A tender car carries the engine’s supply of coal. The passenger car comprises 3 compartments, each depicting a classic scene: when Harry, Ron and Hermione meet in the series’ first movie; when Professor Lupin saves Harry from the Dementor™ in the third movie; and when Luna saves Harry from Draco's spell in the sixth movie. The model also depicts Platform 9¾ at King’s Cross Station, where the adult Harry and Ginny wait with their children, Lily, James and Albus, ready for Albus’s first trip aboard the...
Description provided by LEGO©