Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 76405 Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition is a 5,129 piece Harry Potter exclusive set with 20 minifigs released in 2022. The set features the Hogwarts Express engine, coal tender and 3-room passenger car. and 20 minifigures of Harry Potter and his Hogwarts colleagues, including Ron Weasley, Hermione Granger, Remus Lupin, Ginny Weasley, Draco Malfoy and many more including a Dementor.

While the MSRP is $499.99, the current average price on the secondary markets is around $458. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid to late 2024. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 6% after the second year, which will value the set between $608 and $642 shortly after it is retired.
Retirement risk Retirement risk. Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition should be retiring in most LEGO retail markets and regional LEGO.com online shops very soon. A number of regions have already retired this set.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 76405 Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition.
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition Set 76405 - 100% Verified Authentic ...
$389.00
-22.2%
(US) 6378985 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405, Iconic
BrickEconomy Choice
$399.00
-20.2%
(US) LEGO: Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition (76405) New in Box
$400.00
-20.0%
(US) 76405 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition 1/32 Scale sealed
$400.00
-20.0%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 Brand New
$400.00
-20.0%
(US) 76405 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors Edition 1/32 Scale sealed
$419.00
-16.2%
(US) Harry Potter 76405 Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition, New, Sealed
$429.00
-14.2%
(US) Harry Potter: Hogwarts Express (76405) - Collectors Edition - 1/32 Scale
$429.99
-14.0%
(US) BRAND NEW LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 FAST SHIP
$430.00
-14.0%
(US) 6378985 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405, Iconic
$459.00
-8.2%
(US) Hogwarts Express - Collector's Edition (76405) - New, Unopened
$475.00
-5.0%
(US) New LEGO 76405 Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition Set Fast Ship
$479.99
-4.0%
(US) NEW LEGO 76405 Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition - Factory Sealed
$495.00
-1.0%
(US) Harry Potter Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition 76405 NEW
$495.00
-1.0%
(US) Official LEGO Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition
$499.99
Show 21 more listings

Hogwarts Express Sets

Year 2023
Pieces / Minifigs 1,074 / 8
Availability Retail
76423 LEGO Harry Potter Philosopher's Stone Hogwarts Express & Hogsmeade Station
Retail $129.99
Available at retail
Year 2018
Pieces / Minifigs 801 / 6
Availability Retired
75955 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban Hogwarts Express
Retail $79.99
Value $75.22
Year 2010
Pieces / Minifigs 646 / 5
Availability Retired
4841 LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Express
Retail $79.99
Value $170.67
Growth  113.4%
Annual growth 6.0%
Year 2004
Pieces / Minifigs 389 / 4
Availability Retired
4758 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban Hogwarts Express
Retail $39.99
Value $264.98
Growth  562.6%
Annual growth 7.3%
Year 2004
Pieces / Minifigs 708 / 4
Availability Retired
10132 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban Motorised Hogwarts Express
Retail $119.99
Value $899.70
Growth  649.8%
Annual growth 10.6%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Value Packs
Year 2004
Pieces 724
Availability Retired
65524 LEGO Harry Potter Motorised Hogwarts Express Super Pack
Retail $59.99
Value $1,353.76
Growth  2156.6%
Annual growth 13.6%
Year 2001
Pieces / Minifigs 410 / 3
Availability Retired
4708 LEGO Harry Potter Philosopher's Stone Hogwarts Express
Retail $49.99
Value $179.04
Growth  258.2%
Annual growth 5.4%

Sets in Harry Potter

Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 1,083 / 9
Availability Retired
76408 LEGO Harry Potter Order of the Phoenix 12 Grimmauld Place
Retail $119.99
Value $149.94
Growth  25.0%
Annual growth 5.5%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Deathly Hallows
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 990 / 9
Availability Retired
76403 LEGO Harry Potter Deathly Hallows The Ministry of Magic
Retail $99.99
Value $89.12
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 777 / 6
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
76407 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban The Shrieking Shack & Whomping Willow
Retail $89.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 671 / 1
Availability Retired
76406 LEGO Harry Potter Hungarian Horntail Dragon
Retail $49.99
Value $63.21
Growth  26.4%
Annual growth 6.9%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Chamber of Secrets
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 654 / 6
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
76402 LEGO Harry Potter Chamber of Secrets Hogwarts Dumbledore's Office
Retail $79.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 603 / 4
Availability Retired
76399 LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Magical Trunk
Retail $64.99
Value $59.50
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 510 / 4
Availability Retired
76398 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban Hogwarts Hospital Wing
Retail $49.99
Value $54.03
Growth  8.1%
Annual growth 18.2%
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 345 / 3
Availability Retired
76401 LEGO Harry Potter Prisoner of Azkaban Hogwarts Courtyard Sirius's Rescue
Retail $49.99
Value $65.89
Growth  31.8%
Annual growth 6.2%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Seasonal
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 334 / 7
Availability Retired
76404 LEGO Harry Potter Advent Calendar
Retail $44.99
Value $42.93
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Hogwarts Moments
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 297 / 3
Availability Retired
76396 LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Moment Divination Class
Retail $29.99
Value $36.21
Growth  20.7%
Annual growth 6.6%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Hogwarts Moments
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 257 / 3
Availability Retired
76397 LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Moment Defence Against the Dark Arts Class
Retail $29.99
Value $35.21
Growth  17.4%
Annual growth 10.9%
Theme / Subtheme Harry Potter / Promotional
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 218 / 1
Availability Retired
40577 LEGO Harry Potter Hogwarts Grand Staircase
promotional
Value $74.99
Annual growth 5.2%
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 121 / 2
Availability Retired
76400 LEGO Harry Potter Order of the Phoenix Hogwarts Carriage and Thestrals
Retail $19.99
Value $20.51
Growth  2.6%
Annual growth 7.1%
Year 2022
Pieces / Minifigs 67 / 1
Availability Retired
30435 LEGO Harry Potter Build Your Own Hogwarts Castle
Retail $8.99
Value $9.70
Growth  7.9%
Annual growth 12.5%
Capture the magic of the Harry Potter™ stories with a buildable, 1:32 scale replica of the most iconic vehicle in the Wizarding World. LEGO® Harry Potter Hogwarts Express™ – Collectors' Edition (76405) is a spectacular build-and-display project for adult Harry Potter enthusiasts, which will enchant all who see it.

Authentically detailed inside and out
The engine features a detailed underside and a lever on the top that causes the train to rock with the motion of a steam train. A tender car carries the engine’s supply of coal. The passenger car comprises 3 compartments, each depicting a classic scene: when Harry, Ron and Hermione meet in the series’ first movie; when Professor Lupin saves Harry from the Dementor™ in the third movie; and when Luna saves Harry from Draco's spell in the sixth movie. The model also depicts Platform 9¾ at King’s Cross Station, where the adult Harry and Ginny wait with their children, Lily, James and Albus, ready for Albus’s first trip aboard the...
Description provided by LEGO©