Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 71409 Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge is a 540 piece Super Mario set released in 2022. While the MSRP is $69.99, the current average price on the secondary markets is around $58. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid to late 2023. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 7% after the second year, which will value the set between $82 and $88 shortly after it is retired.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 71409 Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge.
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
BrickEconomy Choice
$53.99
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$53.99
-22.9%
(US) Super Mario: Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge (71409) Building Kit 540 Pcs
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario: Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409)
$55.00
-21.4%
(US) - Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$55.99
-20.0%
(US) LEGO Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 [New Toy]
$61.52
-12.1%
(CA) Super Mario Big SpikeS Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 Building Toy
$62.56
-10.6%
(NL) 71409 Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set New.
$67.15
-4.1%
(US) Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion 71409+ Goomba's Shoe 71404
$67.98
-2.9%
(US) - Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$69.99
(US) 71409 Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Set
$69.99
(US) Offical set 71409 Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge at LEGO.com
$69.99
Show 11 more listings

Sets in Super Mario / Expansion Set

Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces 1,216
Availability Retail
71408 LEGO Super Mario Princess Peach's Castle
Retail $129.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 1,152
Availability Retired
71391 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Airship
Retail $99.99
Value $79.99
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces 1,010
Availability Retired
71369 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Castle Boss Battle
Retail $99.99
Value $147.31
Growth 47.3%
Annual growth 21.1%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 877 / 4
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
71401 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Haunt-and-Seek
Retail $79.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 862 / 4
Availability Retail
71390 LEGO Super Mario Reznor Knockdown
Retail $69.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces 567
Availability Retail
71417 LEGO Super Mario Fliprus Snow Adventure
Retail $64.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 536 / 5
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
71400 LEGO Super Mario Big Urchin Beach Ride
Retail $59.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 504 / 3
Availability Retired
71399 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Entryway
Retail $39.99
Value $49.89
Growth 24.8%
Annual growth 9.7%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 484 / 3
Availability Retired
71389 LEGO Super Mario Lakitu Sky World
Retail $39.99
Value $30.13
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 468 / 2
Availability Retired
71362 LEGO Super Mario Guarded Fortress
Retail $49.99
Value $45.83
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 464 / 5
Availability Retired
71368 LEGO Super Mario Toad's Treasure Hunt
Retail $69.99
Value $69.95
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces 453
Availability Retail
71419 LEGO Super Mario Peach's Garden Balloon Ride
Retail $49.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 431 / 7
Availability Retired
71377 LEGO Super Mario King Boo and the Haunted Yard
Retail $49.99
Value $54.91
Growth 9.8%
Annual growth 10.5%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces 393
Availability Retired
71376 LEGO Super Mario Thwomp Drop
Retail $39.99
Value $48.04
Growth 20.1%
Annual growth 10.2%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 374
Availability Retired
71383 LEGO Super Mario Wiggler's Poison Swamp
Retail $39.99
Value $39.97
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces 354
Availability Retail
71412 LEGO Super Mario Big Bad Island
Retail $44.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 267
Availability Retired
71382 LEGO Super Mario Piranha Plant Puzzling Challenge
Retail $29.99
Value $29.97
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 231
Availability Retail
71388 LEGO Super Mario Boss Sumo Bro Topple
Retail $29.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 229 / 2
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
71398 LEGO Super Mario Dorrie's Beachfront
Retail $29.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces 218
Availability Retail
71416 LEGO Super Mario Lava Wave Ride
Retail $34.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 217 / 4
Availability Retired
71365 LEGO Super Mario Piranha Plant Power Slide
Retail $29.99
Value $34.99
Growth 16.7%
Annual growth 6.7%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 205 / 2
Availability Retail
71367 LEGO Super Mario Mario's House & Yoshi
Retail $29.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 180 / 2
Availability Retired
71363 LEGO Super Mario Desert Pokey
Retail $19.99
Value $22.46
Growth 12.4%
Annual growth 5.9%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 179 / 2
Availability Retail (Retiring soon)
71397 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Lab and Poltergust
Retail $29.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 163 / 2
Availability Retired
40414 LEGO Super Mario Monty Mole & Super Mushroom
promotional
Value $56.35
Annual growth 37.2%
Kids can create their own LEGO® Super Mario™ sky level with the Big Spike’s Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409). It features familiar challenges from the Super Mario™ video games and LEGO figures of 3 popular enemies – a Big Spike, a Boomerang Bro and a Piranha Plant. Players earn digital coins for helping their LEGO® Mario™, LEGO® Luigi™ or LEGO® Peach™ figures (not included) battle the Big Spike, jump on the orange Mushroom Trampolines to get to the Boomerang Bro, use the Super Star Block and more. (Note: the 71360, 71387 or 71403 Starter Course is required for play.)

Introducing a new sky level – Let children take on Big Spike’s Cloudtop Challenge (71409) with this colorful LEGO® Super Mario™ Expansion Set featuring Super Mario™ enemy characters and challenges

3 LEGO® Super Mario™ figures – A Big Spike, a Boomerang Bro and a Piranha Plant

Fun challenges – Dodge the spiked roller thrown by the Big Spike, gain Super Star Block power and jump on the seesaw to defeat...
Description provided by LEGO©