Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 71409 Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge is a 540 piece Super Mario set with 3 figures released in 2022. While the MSRP is $69.99, the current average price on the secondary markets is around $59. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid to late 2024. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 4% after the second year, which will value the set between $78 and $81 shortly after it is retired.
Retirement risk Retirement risk. Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge has a current lifespan of 20 months, based on the average lifespan of other sets in this theme, which is 15 months, this set is at risk for retiring in the coming months.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 71409 Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge.
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
BrickEconomy Choice
$53.00
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 (540 Pieces)
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario: Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge (71409) Building Kit 540 Pcs
$54.99
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario: Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409)
$55.00
-21.4%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$55.99
-20.0%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$55.99
-20.0%
(US) Nintendo Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$55.99
-20.0%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$57.22
-18.2%
(CA) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409, Collectible
$58.49
-16.4%
(HK) US Ship LEGO Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$59.98
-14.3%
(HK) US Ship LEGO Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$59.98
-14.3%
(US) LEGO Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409 [New Toy]
$59.99
-14.3%
(US) Super Mario: Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409)
$59.99
-14.3%
(US) Nintendo Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409)
$60.00
-14.3%
(US) 71409 Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge 540pcs New Box Damage
$60.00
-14.3%
(IE) Super Mario Lego 71409 Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set
$63.50
-9.3%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Standard, Multicolor
$64.28
-8.2%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409,...
$64.28
-8.2%
(US) Super Mario Big Spikes Cloudtop Challenge Standard, Multicolor
$64.28
-8.2%
(US) Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set 71409
$69.99
(US) 71409 Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge Set
$69.99
Show 10 more listings

Figures

Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge contains the following figures. All 2 figures are unique to this set.

Sets in Super Mario / Expansion Set

Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces 1,321
Availability Retail
71423 LEGO Super Mario Dry Bowser Castle Battle Expansion Set
Retail $109.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces 1,216
Availability Retail
71408 LEGO Super Mario Princess Peach's Castle
Retail $129.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 1,152
Availability Retired
71391 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Airship
Retail $99.99
Value $95.74
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 1,062 / 3
Availability Retail
71427 LEGO Super Mario Larry's and Morton's Airships
Retail $79.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 1,010 / 4
Availability Retired
71369 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Castle Boss Battle
Retail $99.99
Value $130.08
Growth  30.1%
Annual growth 11.7%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 877 / 4
Availability Retired
71401 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Haunt-and-Seek
Retail $79.99
Value $111.50
Growth  39.4%
Annual growth 21.2%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 862 / 4
Availability Retired
71390 LEGO Super Mario Reznor Knockdown
Retail $69.99
Value $71.17
Growth  1.7%
Annual growth 2.4%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 567 / 4
Availability Retail
71417 LEGO Super Mario Fliprus Snow Adventure
Retail $64.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 536 / 5
Availability Retired
71400 LEGO Super Mario Big Urchin Beach Ride
Retail $59.99
Value $59.93
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 504 / 3
Availability Retired
71399 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Entryway
Retail $39.99
Value $47.30
Growth  18.3%
Annual growth 7.8%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces 500
Availability Retail
71432 LEGO Super Mario Dorrie's Sunken Shipwreck Adventure
Retail $44.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 484 / 3
Availability Retired
71389 LEGO Super Mario Lakitu Sky World
Retail $39.99
Value $45.13
Growth  12.9%
Annual growth 9.1%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 468 / 2
Availability Retired
71362 LEGO Super Mario Guarded Fortress
Retail $49.99
Value $50.00
Growth  0.0%
Annual growth 1.3%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 464 / 5
Availability Retired
71368 LEGO Super Mario Toad's Treasure Hunt
Retail $69.99
Value $66.00
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces 458
Availability Retail
71431 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Muscle Car
Retail $29.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 453 / 5
Availability Retail
71419 LEGO Super Mario Peach's Garden Balloon Ride
Retail $49.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 431 / 7
Availability Retired
71377 LEGO Super Mario King Boo and the Haunted Yard
Retail $49.99
Value $59.16
Growth  18.3%
Annual growth 5.6%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces 393
Availability Retired
71376 LEGO Super Mario Thwomp Drop
Retail $39.99
Value $45.62
Growth  14.1%
Annual growth 4.6%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 374
Availability Retired
71383 LEGO Super Mario Wiggler's Poison Swamp
Retail $39.99
Value ~$39.99
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 354 / 4
Availability Retail
71412 LEGO Super Mario Big Bad Island
Retail $44.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 267
Availability Retired
71382 LEGO Super Mario Piranha Plant Puzzling Challenge
Retail $29.99
Value $39.30
Growth  31.0%
Annual growth 6.3%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 259 / 1
Availability Retail
71422 LEGO Super Mario Picnic at Mario's House
Retail $37.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 231
Availability Retired
71388 LEGO Super Mario Boss Sumo Bro Topple
Retail $29.99
Value $27.79
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces / Figures 230 / 2
Availability Retail
71429 LEGO Super Mario Nabbit at Toad's Shop
Retail $19.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 229 / 2
Availability Retired
71398 LEGO Super Mario Dorrie's Beachfront
Retail $29.99
Value $31.99
Growth  6.7%
Annual growth 5.1%
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Kids can create their own LEGO® Super Mario™ sky level with the Big Spike’s Cloudtop Challenge Expansion Set (71409). It features familiar challenges from the Super Mario™ video games and LEGO figures of 3 popular enemies – a Big Spike, a Boomerang Bro and a Piranha Plant. Players earn digital coins for helping their LEGO® Mario™, LEGO® Luigi™ or LEGO® Peach™ figures (not included) battle the Big Spike, jump on the orange Mushroom Trampolines to get to the Boomerang Bro, use the Super Star Block and more. (Note: the 71360, 71387 or 71403 Starter Course is required for play.)

Introducing a new sky level – Let children take on Big Spike’s Cloudtop Challenge (71409) with this colorful LEGO® Super Mario™ Expansion Set featuring Super Mario™ enemy characters and challenges

3 LEGO® Super Mario™ figures – A Big Spike, a Boomerang Bro and a Piranha Plant

Fun challenges – Dodge the spiked roller thrown by the Big Spike, gain Super Star Block power and jump on the seesaw to defeat...
Description provided by LEGO©