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40338 LEGO Christmas Tree thumbnail image

40338 LEGO Christmas Tree
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40338 LEGO Christmas Tree
  • Christmas Tree thumbnail
  • Christmas Tree thumbnail
  • Christmas Tree thumbnail
  • Christmas Tree thumbnail
  • Christmas Tree thumbnail

LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree is a Seasonal set currently valued at $55 for new and sealed sets. The set retired in December 2019 with annual appreciation averaging 6.62% since. Used copies are valued between $44 and $56 depending on condition. Secondary market prices for new and sealed sets typically fall between $50 and $60. Its market is steady for now, as a value that has risen in recent months and slower growth than similar sets pull in opposite directions.

Christmas Tree Value (New/Sealed)

This chart represents the current new/sealed value of the set Christmas Tree since December 2019. Very high accuracy
LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree is a Seasonal Christmas set released in 2019, containing 392 pieces. The build depicts a tiered tree on a turntable with a rotating miniature train, using a hollow trunk connection and supports disguised as doors. It was distributed as a free gift with purchases of at least 120 USD at LEGO Stores and on LEGO.com during December 2019. The set was also offered as a gift with purchase during the opening of the LEGO Certified Store in Taipei City, Taiwan.

A new, sealed Christmas Tree is worth around $55 today. It has grown about 6.6% a year since retirement, and our forecast has it 3% higher a year from now. The average used price is $45 for those in good overall condition. Recent market trends show a period of price correction, with values declining over the past year. New and sealed listings currently range from $54 to $92.
All regions

For Sale (New/Sealed)

 (US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)
BrickEconomy Choice
$45.95
(US) 40338 - Christmas Tree - NEW, SEALED, RETIRED, RARE - Seasonal, Holiday $47.00
-14.7%
(US) 40338 Seasonal: Christmas Tree - NISB - Retired $47.99
-12.9%
(US) Christmas Tree from BrickLink seller danlego $44.99
-18.3%
(US) Christmas Tree from BrickLink seller PerryStore $45.00
-18.3%
(US) Christmas Tree from BrickLink seller lar $49.00
-11.0%
(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338) NEW SEALED $49.95
-9.3%
(US) Seasonal Christmas Tree 40338 (Limited Edition) (New) $49.99
-9.2%
(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)brand new and sealed $49.99
-9.2%
(US) SEALED LEGO Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338) $49.99
-9.2%
(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338) $50.00
-9.2%
(US) 40338 Limited Edition Christmas Tree With Mini Train Set Sealed Brand New $50.00
-9.2%
(US) Seasonal Christmas 40338 Christmas Tree Holiday New Sealed Promotional GWP $54.00
-2.0%
(US) Christmas Tree 40338 Limited Edition 2 in 1 Set Factory Sealed New $55.00
-0.1%
(US) Christmas Tree 40338, Brand New In Sealed Box $55.00
-0.1%
Picked for your regionShow 44 more listings

Sales Distribution (Last 90 Days)

This chart shows the distribution of sales for the past three months of new/sealed 40338 Christmas Tree.

Sale Trends

This chart shows the sales trends of new/sealed 40338 Christmas Tree.

Market Momentum

Neutral
This set's value is climbing and its forecast is ahead of similar sets, but momentum is holding level for now.
DemandTop 25% in Seasonal
Very high demand
12 months agoToday
SupplyTypical for Seasonal
Listings steady this month
12 months agoToday
Growth vs peers+2% typical for Christmas
-16% over the past year
12 months agoToday
Outlook:15% bearish·42% neutral·43% bullish
Why it's moving, signals and outlook

Compared with other Christmas sets

Set against the others, Christmas Tree is well up among the Christmas sets on value, ranks among the biggest of the group and has a stronger forecast than most of them.

#14 of 119
By value, $55
$6.69$330
In the top quarter of the group.
$0.14 a piece
New and sealed value per piece
This set
$0.14
Typical
$0.19
About 25% below the group's typical value per piece.
#7 of 77
Used value as a share of new, 82%
23%94%
In the top quarter of the group.
#87 of 107 retired
Wanted for each member who owns it
This set
Typical
About half the rate of the group's retired sets.
Top sets by growthSince retail
1850843 LEGO Creator T-Rex Holiday Bauble+961%
210106 LEGO Snowflake+866%
31129 Santa on Reindeer+700%

Sets in Seasonal / Christmas

40426 Christmas Wreath 2-in-1

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 510
Availability Retired
40426 LEGO Christmas Wreath 2-in-1
Retail $39.99
Value $56.95
Growth  +42.4%
Annual growth 9.6%

40337 Gingerbread House

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2019
Pieces 499
Availability Retired
40337 LEGO Christmas Gingerbread House
promotional
Value $35.00
Annual growth 1.8%

40410 Charles Dickens Tribute

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 333 / 3
Availability Retired
40410 LEGO Christmas Charles Dickens Tribute
promotional
Value $40.00
Annual growth 36.3%

40416 Ice Skating Rink

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 304 / 2
Availability Retired
40416 LEGO Christmas Ice Skating Rink
Retail $19.99
Value $25.00
Growth  +25.1%
Annual growth 3.9%

40292 Buildable Holiday Present

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2018
Pieces / Minifigs 301 / 2
Availability Retired
40292 LEGO Christmas Buildable Holiday Present
promotional
Value $30.00
Annual growth 1.9%

40293 Christmas Carousel

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2018
Pieces 251
Availability Retired
40293 LEGO Christmas Carousel
promotional
Value $55.63
Annual growth 3.6%

40424 Winter Snowball Fight

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 149 / 2
Availability Retired
40424 LEGO Christmas Winter Snowball Fight
Retail $12.99
Value $27.94
Growth  +115.1%
Annual growth 13.0%

854050 Snowman & Reindeer Duo

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 126
Availability Retired
854050 LEGO Christmas Snowman & Reindeer Duo
Retail $9.99
Value $19.36
Growth  +93.8%
Annual growth 6.8%

853815 Gifts Holiday Ornament

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2018
Pieces 50
Availability Retired
853815 LEGO Christmas Gifts Holiday Ornament
Retail $7.99
Value $20.00
Growth  +150.3%
Annual growth 8.2%

854037 Christmas Ornament Santa

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 44
Availability Retired
854037 LEGO Christmas Ornament Santa
Retail $7.99
Value $20.23
Growth  +153.2%
Annual growth 9.2%

853907 LEGO Toy Soldier Ornament

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2019
Pieces 43
Availability Retired
853907 Christmas LEGO Toy Soldier Ornament
Retail $7.99
Value $20.70
Growth  +159.1%
Annual growth 8.5%

853796 Penguin Holiday Ornament

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2018
Pieces 37
Availability Retired
853796 LEGO Christmas Penguin Holiday Ornament
Retail $7.99
Value $19.99
Growth  +150.2%
Annual growth 9.6%

854038 Christmas Reindeer Ornament

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 34
Availability Retired
854038 LEGO Christmas Reindeer Ornament
Retail $7.99
Value $16.68
Growth  +108.8%
Annual growth 8.8%

5005253 Christmas Ornament 2018 Reindeer Head

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2018
Pieces 28
Availability Retired
5005253 LEGO Christmas Ornament 2018 Reindeer Head
promotional
Value $6.69
Annual growth 4.0%

Christmas Tree Questions

How much is LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree worth today?

Today's value for a new, sealed copy of Christmas Tree is $55. Sealed copies typically change hands for $50 to $60. That is up 8% on three months ago. A used copy in good condition goes for about $45.

Can you still buy LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree from LEGO?

No. Christmas Tree left LEGO's shelves in December 2019 after a run of 1 month. Collectors now buy it on the secondary market, from sellers on sites like eBay and BrickLink.

Will LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree go up in value?

Our forecast says yes. Our one-year forecast has Christmas Tree at around $57 a year from now, about 3% more than today. The short-term market reading is neutral. Demand, supply and price signals are mixed or quiet. This is an estimate and markets can change.

How many pieces are in LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree?

The set contains 392 pieces.

Top lists

My Collection

Christmas Tree Reviews

11 reviews
4.8
Collectors
Investors
“Once fully assembled, the tree is almost as tall as the box in which it came. All the detail on each layer of the tree is lovely. The only other LEGO Christmas tree comparable to this build is the one found in the LEGO Creator Winter Village Toy Shop (10249). Between the two... More of them, I would definitely set this one up as the town square tree.”
Full review at thefamilybrick.com
The Brick Fan
“Overall, the Christmas Tree (40338) is one of the better looking trees LEGO has produced. The higher price point to get it sort of correlates to the number of pieces in the set. Before you could purchase a Winter Village set and get these holiday GWPs but not anymore and... More that sort of stings.”
Full review at www.thebrickfan.com

About Seasonal Christmas

Christmas is the Seasonal subtheme for LEGO's holiday sets, and new ones come out every autumn. The earliest are small Santa builds from 1999. Many of the smaller sets are given free with purchases in November and December rather than sold, which is how 40410 Charles Dickens Tribute, a scene from A Christmas Carol, reached most people in 2020.

Christmas was introduced in 1999 and currently consists of 120 sets. As of today, 40489 Mr. and Mrs. Claus' Living Room is the most valuable Christmas set with an estimated new/sealed value of $280.
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Christmas Tree (item 40338) offer is valid on LEGO.com and at LEGO Stores on 11/29/19 through 11:59pm EST, 12/02/19 or while supplies last only. Qualifying purchase must be equal to or greater than |{"US": "$120", "MX"$2300", "CA": 120 $"}| in merchandise only; any applicable taxes, shipping charges, or value of gift cards purchased do not apply to merchandise total.
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