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Sets
Seasonal
Christmas
Christmas Tree

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40338 LEGO Christmas Tree

Name: LEGO Christmas Tree
Brand: LEGO
SKU: 40338-1
Rating: 4.80 (8 reviews)

Images 4Description 1

Set Value (New/Sealed)

This chart represents the current new/sealed value of the set Christmas Tree since December 2019. Very high accuracy

LEGO 40338 Christmas Tree was a 392 piece Seasonal promotional set released in 2019. This set was a free promotion item in LEGO stores and LEGO.com online with qualified purchases of at least $120 USD in LEGO brand stores and online at LEGO.com.

The current value for a new and sealed Christmas Tree is estimated around $74 today with current average yearly gain of about 15% but will level off in the next year closer to a 8% annual growth making it a solid investment. On the secondary markets, the typical price range for the set MISB/NISB is between $71 and $86. On the open market, a used set will fetch in the range of between $38 and $66 depending on the condition.

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All regions

All regions 52
United States 44
European Union 1
Canada 3
Australia 2
Germany 1

For Sale (New/Sealed)

	(US) 2022 LEGO Building Set CHRISTMAS TREE #40573 New in Box	BrickEconomy Choice $63.99 -13.8%
	(US) 40573 Christmas Tree Brand-New & In-HandHoliday Exclusive	$67.99 -8.5%
	(US) 40573 Seasonal Christmas Tree 2022 Brand New Sealed	$69.95 -5.8%
	(US) 40573 Christmas Tree 2022 2 in 1 Store Exclusive	$69.96 -5.8%
	(US) 40573 Seasonal Holiday Christmas Tree 2022 2in1	$69.99 -5.8%
	(US) 40573 Christmas Tree Brand-New & In-HandHoliday Exclusive	$69.99 -5.8%
	(US) Left side panel partially crushed. The rest of the box is in excellent condition othe...	$71.72 -3.4%
	(US) 40573 Christmas Tree 2 in 1 , New & Sealed IN HAND	$71.99 -3.1%
	(US) SEALED! BRAND NEW IN BOX! Overall box quality is good, minor shelf wear and creases. ...	$74.00 -0.4%
	(US) NEW IN BOX 2022 LEGO Christmas Tree (40573)	$74.99 +1.0%
	(US) NISB. Box slightly dented, but still sealed.	$74.99 +1.0%
	(US) Amazon listing for Christmas Tree	~$77.98 +5.0%
	(US) Seasonal - 2022 Holiday - 40573 Christmas Tree - Brand New	$79.99 +7.7%
	(US) 40338 Seasonal Christmas Tree Brand New Sealed Retired Present Promo Rare	$89.99 +21.2%
Show 58 more listings
	(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)	$89.99 +21.2%
	(SG) SEASONAL 40338 - CHRISTMAS TREE 2019 SEALED NEW	$92.90 +25.1%
	(CA) VIP 40338 Christmas Tree Limited edition Retired 2018	$95.38 +28.4%
	(CA) CHRISTMAS TREE 40338 Black Friday Promo 2019 Limited Winter NEW SEALED	$96.11 +29.4%
	(US) Lot of 8 Lego Creator Holiday Christmas Tree 30576 Building Kit 70 Pieces	$99.00 +33.3%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree with Train, Holiday Limited Edition Promo, New Sealed	$99.00 +33.3%
	(US) - CHRISTMAS TREE - 40338 - I GLADLY COMBINE SHIPPING	$99.95 +34.6%
	(US) NEW, 2019 LEGO FACTORY SEALED LIMITED EDITION CHRISTMAS TREE #40338 - 392 PIECES	$99.99 +34.6%
	(US) Limited Edition - CHRISTMAS TREE - 40338 - New & Sealed	$100.00 +34.6%
	(US) Christmas Tree Set 40338 - 100% Verified Authentic and New	$100.00 +34.6%
	(US) Christmas Tree Set 40338 - 100% Verified Authentic and New	$100.00 +34.6%
	(FR) Christmas Tree - 40338-1	$102.99 +38.7%
	(CA) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)	$105.76 +42.4%
	(US) new Seasonal Christmas Tree 40573 784 pieces Sealed	$109.99 +48.1%
	(US) 2019 Seasonal Promo CHRISTMAS TREE (40338) New & Sealed	$109.99 +48.1%
	(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338) 2019 Limited Edition ~New & Sealed~	$110.00 +48.1%
	(DE) LEGO 40338 \| Weihnachtsbaum \| Christmas Tree \| NEU + OVP \| MISB + NRFB	$112.92 +52.0%
	(US) Exclusive Set #40338 Holiday Christmas Tree 2019 Limited Edition	$114.33 +53.9%
	(AU) 40338 Creator Seasonal Christmas Tree - Brand New Sealed	$115.53 +55.6%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree 2019 Limited Edition Holiday Exclusive NISB	$117.97 +58.8%
	(US) 40338 CHRISTMAS TREE LIMITED EDITION 2019 NEW FACTORY SEALED BOX	$118.85 +60.0%
	(AU) Christmas Tree 40338 Limited Edition 2019 Brand New, Sealed, Free Postage	$119.40 +60.8%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree 2019 Rare Exclusive limited Edition Holiday Gift Set	$119.95 +61.5%
	(US) GWP Set 40338 Holiday Christmas Tree Skating Rink 40416 Limited Edition	$119.99 +61.6%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree 2019 Rare Exclusive limited Edition Holiday Gift Set	$119.99 +61.6%
	(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)	$120.00 +61.6%
	(US) Exclusive Set #40338 Holiday Christmas Tree 2019 Limited Edition MINT BOX!	$124.98 +68.3%
	(US) - Christmas Tree - Limited Edition - Set No. 40338 (New)	$125.00 +68.3%
	(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338) BRAND NEW IN UNOPENED ORIGINAL BOX NIB!	$129.97 +75.0%
	(US) NEW LEGO CREATOR Christmas Tree (40338) - Santa Holiday Exclusive Gift Present	$129.99 +75.0%
	(US) Christmas Tree Set 40338 2019 Set - New in box 392 Pieces Ages 8+ RETIRED	$130.00 +75.0%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree - NEW - SEALED - RETIRED	$135.96 +83.1%
	(US) Christmas Tree (40338) SEALED	$140.00 +88.5%
	(US) Christmas Tree (40338) New in Box, MINT condition	$140.00 +88.5%
	(US) Seasonal: Christmas Tree (40338)	$140.00 +88.5%
	(US) Retired Lego 40338 Christmas Tree Limited Edition Brand New Sealed Box	$140.00 +88.5%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree Limited Edition Winter Village MISB	$149.99 +102.0%
	(US) 40338 Christmas Tree Limited Edition Winter Village brand new sealed box	$149.99 +102.0%

Sales Distribution (Last 90 Days)

This chart shows the distribution of sales for the last 3 months of new/sealed 40338 Christmas Tree.

Sale Trends

This chart shows the sales trends (number sold) of new/sealed 40338 Christmas Tree.

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Sets in Seasonal / Christmas


	40426 Christmas Wreath 2-in-1 Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces 510 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay StockX	Retail $39.99 Value $41.99 Growth 5.0% Annual growth 6.7% I own this set I want this set

	40337 Gingerbread House Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2019 Pieces 499 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay StockX Bricklink	promotional Value $29.00 Annual growth 37.2% I own this set I want this set

	40410 Charles Dickens Tribute Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces / Minifigs 333 / 3 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay StockX Bricklink	promotional Value $24.98 Annual growth 37.2% I own this set I want this set

	40416 Ice Skating Rink Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces / Minifigs 304 / 2 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay Bricklink	Retail $19.99 Value $25.00 Growth 25.1% Annual growth 8.5% I own this set I want this set

	40292 Buildable Holiday Present Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2018 Pieces / Minifigs 301 / 2 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay Bricklink	promotional Value $27.77 Annual growth 4.2% I own this set I want this set

	40293 Christmas Carousel Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2018 Pieces 251 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay	promotional Value $49.68 Annual growth 5.4% I own this set I want this set

	40424 Winter Snowball Fight Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces / Minifigs 149 / 2 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay StockX Bricklink	Retail $12.99 Value $19.00 Growth 46.3% Annual growth 27.1% I own this set I want this set

	854050 Snowman & Reindeer Duo Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces 126 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay Bricklink	Retail $9.99 Value $14.50 Growth 45.1% Annual growth 15.7% I own this set I want this set

	853815 Gifts Holiday Ornament Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2018 Pieces 50 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon ebay StockX Bricklink	Retail $7.99 Value $17.99 Growth 125.2% Annual growth 13.8% I own this set I want this set

	854037 Christmas Ornament Santa Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces 44 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay	Retail $7.99 Value $15.28 Growth 91.2% Annual growth 15.3% I own this set I want this set

	853907 LEGO Toy Soldier Ornament Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2019 Pieces 43 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay Bricklink	Retail $7.99 Value $14.77 Growth 84.9% Annual growth 10.7% I own this set I want this set

	853796 Penguin Holiday Ornament Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2018 Pieces 37 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay	Retail $7.99 Value $24.39 Growth 205.3% Annual growth 16.6% I own this set I want this set

	854038 Christmas Reindeer Ornament Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2020 Pieces 34 Availability Retired Buy this set at Amazon eBay Bricklink	Retail $7.99 Value $14.95 Growth 87.1% Annual growth 19.8% I own this set I want this set

	5005253 Christmas Ornament 2018 Reindeer Head Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas Year 2018 Pieces 28 Availability Retired Buy this set at eBay Bricklink	promotional Value $3.69 Annual growth 12.7% I own this set I want this set

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My Collection

I own this set

I want this set

Set Details

Set number

40338-1

Name

Christmas Tree

Theme

Seasonal

Subtheme

Christmas

Year

2019

Released

November 29, 2019

Retired

December 2, 2019

Availability

Retired

Pieces

392

Set Pricing

Retail price

Free promotional

New/Sealed

Value

$74.27

Annual growth

+15.23% Decreasing

Future growth

+8.38% (2-3 year outlook)

90-day growth

0.89%

Used

Value

$54.83

Range

$38.07 - $65.80

Quick Buy

eBay

Buy

Lowest price

$63.99

Highest price

$149.99

Amazon

Buy

Price

~$77.98

StockX

Buy

Buy/bid price

$100.00

Bricklink

Buy

Lowest price

$61.23 (AU)

Highest price

$83.99

*Listings are for new/sealed sets.

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Set Predictions

1 year forecast

$77.70

5 year forecast

$101.46

$99

$105

40338 Christmas Tree is estimated to be worth between $99 - $105 in 5 years (new/sealed).

Set Facts

In addition to the LEGO promotions during the initial release in December of 2019, it was also available as a gift with purchase during the opening of the LEGO Certified Store in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Christmas Tree was designed by LEGO designer Mel Caddick.

Barcodes

UPC

673419304719

EAN

5702016371284

Christmas Tree Reviews

8 reviews

4.8

Collectors

Investors

“Once fully assembled, the tree is almost as tall as the box in which it came. All the detail on each layer of the tree is lovely. The only other LEGO Christmas tree comparable to this build is the one found in the LEGO Creator Winter Village Toy Shop (10249). Between the two... More of them, I would definitely set this one up as the town square tree.”

Full review at thefamilybrick.com

The Brick Fan

“Overall, the Christmas Tree (40338) is one of the better looking trees LEGO has produced. The higher price point to get it sort of correlates to the number of pieces in the set. Before you could purchase a Winter Village set and get these holiday GWPs but not anymore and... More that sort of stings.”

Full review at www.thebrickfan.com

Subtheme Analysis

Seasonal / Christmas

Sets

Years

1999 - 2023

Annual growth

+6.61% (this set +15.23%)

This set's annual growth (CAGR) vs. subtheme

Community Stats

Christmas Tree currently ranks #7 out of the top most owned sets in Seasonal Christmas.

#1Charles Dickens Tribute

#2Santa's Sleigh

#3Ice Skating Rink

#4Santa's Front Yard

#5Christmas Wreath 2-in-1

#7Christmas Tree

#8Gingerbread House

#9Christmas Tree

About Seasonal Christmas

Christmas is a subtheme of Seasonal that was introduced in 1999 and currently consists of 98 sets.

Christmas Tree (item 40338) offer is valid on LEGO.com and at LEGO Stores on 11/29/19 through 11:59pm EST, 12/02/19 or while supplies last only. Qualifying purchase must be equal to or greater than |{"US": "$120", "MX"$2300", "CA": 120 $"}| in merchandise only; any applicable taxes, shipping charges, or value of gift cards purchased do not apply to merchandise total.

Set Pricing Models

BrickEconomy uses a number of methods to determine the value of a set.

New/Sealed

Machine Learning/AI Model

Value (today)

$74.27

Value (in a year)

$83.91

Value (in 2 years)

$91.26

Accuracy

0.962500 Very high

Statistical Model

Value (today)

$71.29

Value (in a year)

(Possible plateau)

Value (in two years)

(Possible plateau)

Accuracy

0.379279 Low

Used

Machine Learning/AI Model

Value (today)

$54.83

Value (low range)

$38.07

Value (high range)

$65.80

Accuracy

0.907500 High

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