Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
40498 Penguin is a 244 piece Seasonal exclusive set released in 2021. The current retail price is $14.99, however, the average price on the secondary markets is around $19 which could indicate the set is backordered or temporarily out of stock in various regions. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid 2023. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 6% after the second year, which will value the set between $18 and $20 shortly after it is retired.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 40498 Penguin.
(NL) New, sealed, box is 8/10
$13.65
-8.9%
(US) Offical set 40498 Christmas Penguin at LEGO.com
BrickEconomy Choice
$14.99
(IT) New sealed perfect condition
$15.76
+5.1%
(PT) New and Sealed!
$15.87
+5.9%
(CZ) BrickLink store Brick Vader
$15.90
+6.1%
(BE) BrickLink store BRICKSTAR BELGIUM
$16.17
+7.9%
(ES) BrickLink store The Kanteen
$16.50
+10.1%
(HK) - MISB, box condition 8/10, outer box may have minor dents/scratches/shelf wears, goo...
$17.00
+13.4%
(DE) BrickLink store seesteine
$17.77
+18.5%
(PT) BrickLink store Martins' store
$17.97
+19.9%
(DE) BrickLink store Bricks from Dennis
$17.98
+19.9%
(PT) BrickLink store Geeglo it !!
$18.99
+26.7%
(PT) NISB
$19.44
+29.7%
(NL) BrickLink store Brickplay
$19.57
+30.6%
Show 50 more listings

Sets in Seasonal / Christmas

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 510
Availability Exclusive
40426 LEGO Christmas Wreath 2-in-1
Retail $34.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces / Minifigs 343 / 1
Availability Exclusive
40499 LEGO Christmas Santa's Sleigh
Retail $36.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 333 / 3
Availability Retired
40410 LEGO Christmas Charles Dickens Tribute
promotional
Value $23.78
Annual growth 37.2%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces / Minifigs 317 / 1
Availability Retired
40484 LEGO Christmas Santa's Front Yard
promotional
Value $15.85
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 304 / 2
Availability Retired
40416 LEGO Christmas Ice Skating Rink
Retail $19.99
Value $25.20
Growth 26.1%
Annual growth 18.6%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 149 / 2
Availability Retired
40424 LEGO Christmas Winter Snowball Fight
Retail $12.99
Value $16.02
Growth 23.3%
Annual growth 13.4%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces 142
Availability Exclusive
40494 LEGO Christmas Polar Bear & Gift Pack
Retail $9.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 126
Availability Exclusive
854050 LEGO Christmas Snowman & Reindeer Duo
Retail $9.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 44
Availability Retired
854037 LEGO Christmas Ornament Santa
Retail $7.99
Value $11.87
Growth 48.6%
Annual growth 20.7%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 34
Availability Exclusive (Retiring soon)
854038 LEGO Christmas Reindeer Ornament
Retail $7.99
Available at retail
Retiring soon
Celebrate the holiday season with this supercute Christmas Penguin display toy. The seabird can rotate, and also move its wings while standing on a display base next to a decorated Christmas tree and 3 wrapped presents.
Brilliant building set featuring a Christmas Penguin LEGO® model on a display platform accompanied by a Christmas tree and 3 wrapped presents.
Standing over 4.5 in. (12 cm) tall, the Christmas Penguin toy can rotate, and also move its wings.
Description provided by LEGO©