Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 40498 Penguin is a 244 piece Seasonal exclusive set released in 2021. The current retail price is $14.99, however, the average sales listings on the secondary markets is closer to $16. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid 2023. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 5% after the second year, which will value the set between $18 and $19 shortly after it is retired.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 40498 Penguin.
(US) *** Best US listing for Penguin ***
BrickEconomy Choice
$22.00
(NL) BrickLink store Basictoys
$16.52
-3.1%
(DE) BrickLink store Bricks from Dennis
$17.04
(PT) BrickLink store Geeglo it !!
$17.99
+5.6%
(DE) BrickLink store M.I.S.B. sets B.E.R.L.I.N.
$18.54
+8.8%
(US) 40498 Christmas Penguin Building Set New 2022
$22.00
+29.1%
(US) New Lego Christmas Penguin 40498 Retired Seasonal Set New Factory Sealed Box
$22.00
+29.1%
(US) Christmas Penguin 40498, 244 Pieces
$22.19
+30.2%
(US) HOLIDAY 40498 Christmas Penguin NISB New & Sealed Penguin Xmas Tree Ice
$23.00
+35.0%
(US) 40498 Christmas Holidays Set Penguin with Tree Rare New in Hand DENT Box
$23.99
+40.8%
(US) 40498 Christmas Penguin Set 244 pcs New Sealed Read
$24.89
+46.1%
(US) Set #40498 Christmas Penguin (244 pcs) Brand New! Sealed! 40498
$24.90
+46.1%
(US) New/Sealed 2021 Lego Holiday Building Set #40498 - Christmas Penguin
$24.95
+46.4%
(US) Christmas Penguin (40498)
$24.95
+46.4%
Show 13 more listings

Sets in Seasonal / Christmas

Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2022
Pieces 784
Availability Exclusive
40573 LEGO Christmas Tree
Retail $44.99
Not yet released
Available October 1, 2022
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 510
Availability Exclusive
40426 LEGO Christmas Wreath 2-in-1
Retail $34.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces / Minifigs 343 / 1
Availability Exclusive
40499 LEGO Christmas Santa's Sleigh
Retail $36.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 333 / 3
Availability Retired
40410 LEGO Christmas Charles Dickens Tribute
promotional
Value $24.43
Annual growth 37.2%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces / Minifigs 317 / 1
Availability Retired
40484 LEGO Christmas Santa's Front Yard
promotional
Value $13.93
Annual growth 40.2%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2022
Pieces 312
Availability Retail
40571 LEGO Christmas Polar Bears
Retail $12.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 304 / 2
Availability Retired
40416 LEGO Christmas Ice Skating Rink
Retail $19.99
Value $24.91
Growth 24.6%
Annual growth 13.5%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces / Minifigs 149 / 2
Availability Retired
40424 LEGO Christmas Winter Snowball Fight
Retail $12.99
Value $16.04
Growth 23.5%
Annual growth 18.5%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2021
Pieces 142
Availability Exclusive
40494 LEGO Christmas Polar Bear & Gift Pack
Retail $9.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2022
Pieces 139
Availability Exclusive
40572 LEGO Christmas Penguin & Snowflake
Retail $9.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 126
Availability Retired
854050 LEGO Christmas Snowman & Reindeer Duo
Retail $9.99
Value $14.00
Growth 40.1%
Annual growth 6.9%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 44
Availability Retired
854037 LEGO Christmas Ornament Santa
Retail $7.99
Value $12.83
Growth 60.6%
Annual growth 28.4%
Theme / Subtheme Seasonal / Christmas
Year 2020
Pieces 34
Availability Retired
854038 LEGO Christmas Reindeer Ornament
Retail $7.99
Value $15.00
Growth 87.7%
Annual growth 37.2%
Celebrate the holiday season with this supercute Christmas Penguin display toy. The seabird can rotate, and also move its wings while standing on a display base next to a decorated Christmas tree and 3 wrapped presents.
Brilliant building set featuring a Christmas Penguin LEGO® model on a display platform accompanied by a Christmas tree and 3 wrapped presents.
Standing over 4.5 in. (12 cm) tall, the Christmas Penguin toy can rotate, and also move its wings.
Description provided by LEGO©