Forecast Model

This represents the expected annual growth (CAGR) based on a forecast model only.
LEGO 71416 Lava Wave Ride is a 218 piece Super Mario set with 3 figures released in 2023. The current retail price is $34.99, however, the average price on the secondary markets is around $37 which could indicate the set is backordered or temporarily out of stock in various regions. The set is estimated to retire sometime within mid 2024. Once retired, the expected annual growth will be close to 5% after the second year, which will value the set between $42 and $43 shortly after it is retired.
Retirement risk Retirement risk. Lava Wave Ride should be retiring in most LEGO retail markets and regional LEGO.com online shops very soon. A number of regions have already retired this set.

For Sale (New/Sealed)

This chart shows the sales listing trends of 71416 Lava Wave Ride.
(US) SUPER MARIO: Lava Wave RideExpansion Set (71416)
BrickEconomy Choice
$26.59
(JP) SUPER MARIO Lava Wave Ride EXPANSION SET Block Building Toy 71416
$27.07
-23.4%
(US) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride Expansion 71416 Building Toy Set
$27.95
-21.0%
(US) Super Mario: Lava Wave RideExpansion, set 71416 - NEW, Factory Sealed
$28.00
-20.8%
(CZ) LEGO Super Mario 71416 Lava Wave Ride Expansion Set
$28.43
-19.6%
(US) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride Expansion Set Toy 71416 #1872
$29.90
-15.4%
(US) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride Expansion
$29.99
-15.2%
(NO) I recommend selecting a parcel for shipping so that it can be well-packed.
$33.49
-5.3%
(US) Super Mario #71416. Lava Wave Ride. 218 Pieces for Age 7+
$33.75
-4.6%
(CA) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride 71416 Factory Sealed New
$34.15
-3.4%
(US) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride Expansion Set 71416 NEW
$34.75
-1.7%
(CH) BrickLink store Gubricks
$34.81
-1.6%
(US) Super Mario Lava Wave Ride Expansion Set 71416 218pcs. Factory Sealed
$34.99
-1.0%
(US) Official LEGO Lava Wave Ride
$34.99
-1.0%
Show 17 more listings

Figures

Lava Wave Ride contains the following figures. The figure is unique to this set.

Sets in Super Mario / Expansion Set

Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces 1,216
Availability Retail
71408 LEGO Super Mario Princess Peach's Castle
Retail $129.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 1,152
Availability Retired
71391 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Airship
Retail $99.99
Value $99.95
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 1,062 / 3
Availability Retail
71427 LEGO Super Mario Larry's and Morton's Airships
Retail $79.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 1,010 / 4
Availability Retired
71369 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Castle Boss Battle
Retail $99.99
Value $139.00
Growth 39.0%
Annual growth 17.3%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 877 / 4
Availability Retired
71401 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Haunt-and-Seek
Retail $79.99
Value $99.00
Growth 23.8%
Annual growth 14.5%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 862 / 4
Availability Retired
71390 LEGO Super Mario Reznor Knockdown
Retail $69.99
Value $74.75
Growth 6.8%
Annual growth 6.4%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 567 / 4
Availability Retail
71417 LEGO Super Mario Fliprus Snow Adventure
Retail $64.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 540 / 3
Availability Retail
71409 LEGO Super Mario Big Spike's Cloudtop Challenge
Retail $69.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 536 / 5
Availability Retired
71400 LEGO Super Mario Big Urchin Beach Ride
Retail $59.99
Value $59.89
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 504 / 3
Availability Retired
71399 LEGO Super Mario Luigi's Mansion Entryway
Retail $39.99
Value $44.91
Growth 12.3%
Annual growth 13.6%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces 500
Availability Pending release
71432 LEGO Super Mario Dorrie's Sunken Shipwreck Adventure
Retail $44.99
Not yet released
Available January 1, 2024
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces / Figures 484 / 3
Availability Retired
71389 LEGO Super Mario Lakitu Sky World
Retail $39.99
Value $34.95
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 468 / 2
Availability Retired
71362 LEGO Super Mario Guarded Fortress
Retail $49.99
Value ~$49.99
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 464 / 5
Availability Retired
71368 LEGO Super Mario Toad's Treasure Hunt
Retail $69.99
Value $65.00
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces 458
Availability Pending release
71431 LEGO Super Mario Bowser's Muscle Car
Retail $29.99
Not yet released
Available January 1, 2024
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces / Figures 453 / 5
Availability Retail
71419 LEGO Super Mario Peach's Garden Balloon Ride
Retail $49.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces / Figures 431 / 7
Availability Retired
71377 LEGO Super Mario King Boo and the Haunted Yard
Retail $49.99
Value $59.98
Growth 20.0%
Annual growth 5.8%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2020
Pieces 393
Availability Retired
71376 LEGO Super Mario Thwomp Drop
Retail $39.99
Value $49.58
Growth 24.0%
Annual growth 7.4%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 374
Availability Retired
71383 LEGO Super Mario Wiggler's Poison Swamp
Retail $39.99
Value $42.71
Growth 6.8%
Annual growth 4.6%
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 354 / 4
Availability Retail
71412 LEGO Super Mario Big Bad Island
Retail $44.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 267
Availability Retired
71382 LEGO Super Mario Piranha Plant Puzzling Challenge
Retail $29.99
Value ~$29.99
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2023
Pieces 259
Availability Retail
71422 LEGO Super Mario Picnic at Mario's House
Retail $37.99
Available at retail
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2021
Pieces 231
Availability Retired
71388 LEGO Super Mario Boss Sumo Bro Topple
Retail $29.99
Value $24.99
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2024
Pieces 230
Availability Pending release
71429 LEGO Super Mario Nabbit at Toad's Shop
Retail $19.99
Not yet released
Available December 1, 2024
Theme / Subtheme Super Mario / Expansion Set
Year 2022
Pieces / Figures 229 / 2
Availability Retired
71398 LEGO Super Mario Dorrie's Beachfront
Retail $29.99
Value ~$29.99
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Children can create a red-hot level in their LEGO® Super Mario™ world with the Lava Wave Ride Expansion Set (71416). It features an oscillating lava wave with a Lava Lift for a LEGO® Mario™, LEGO® Luigi™ or LEGO® Peach™ figure (not included) to ride on. Players earn digital coins for staying on the moving wave and for defeating the 2 Lava Bubbles at each end. The set, which is ideal for social play, also includes a Fire Bro to defeat.

Download the LEGO Super Mario app for building instructions, plus inspiring tips and other fun stuff to enhance kids’ creative experience.

This collectible playset makes a fantastic gift toy for kids aged 7 and over who love Super Mario™ and own a LEGO Super Mario Starter Course (71360, 71387 or 71403 – required for play). This and the many other Expansion Sets allow fans to expand, rebuild and create their own unique levels for hours of coin-collecting play.

Ride the lava wave (71416) – Kids can add a fun lava level to their LEGO® Super...
Description provided by LEGO©